The Secretary of State’s office has posted the 88-Day Report of Registration meaning we can see a breakdown of voters’ registration by political party as of March 11. The report has tons of data; most of it as expected. The one, arguably surprising, trend that has continued for the last few years is a decrease in the number of voters registered as NPP – No Party Preference. Yes, we said, decrease.
This is not the first time we have seen a decrease in the number of NPPs, yet the decline continues to be a big topic of conversation around the water cooler. Just a few years ago, Barack Obama was President, partisanship was waning, and the number of NPPs continued to rise while the number of Republicans continued to decline. In February 2016, John Myers, Sacramento Bureau Chief for the L.A. Times wrote “…new voter registration data show another shift away from party affiliation…”
By May 2018, there were more NPPs than Republicans making NPPs the second largest voting group and moving Republicans to third place. There were 4,469,299 (25.07%) Republicans and 4,852,817 (25.51%) NPPs.
Just 16 years prior, NPPs were a minor group known as Decline-to-State. In February 2002, the Report of Registration had 5,354,358 (35.04%) Republicans and 2,254,819 (14.76%) NPPs. Their turnout rate was lower than those voters who were affiliated with a party and they played only a small role in the outcome of most elections.
So, what happened? NPPs were the second largest voting bloc in 2018. Just four years later, they are back in third place: as of March 11, 2022, the number of NPP voters was 5,026,623 (22.81%). That’s down almost 3% in four years. Super hyper partisanship is causing new voters to register with a political party, even if it’s not with a traditional D or R party. All qualified political parties, except for Republicans, increased from 2020 to 2022.
There is more information about one of these qualified political parties, the so-called American Independent Party, in this week’s edition. Here is a link. Calpeek will update the data when the next Report of Registration is released. Until then, please enjoy these highlights of the 88-Day Report of Registration:
26,958,335 – Total Registered Voters in California
10,300,858 (46.74%) – Democrats
5,271,605 (23.92%) – Republicans
742,581 (3.37%) – American Independent
91,636 (.42%) – Green
233,099 (1.01%) – Libertarian
115,833 (.53%) – Peace & Freedom
115,888 (.53%) – Unknown*
150,121 (.68%) – Other*
5,026,623 (22.81%) – No Party Preference
*Note: “Unknown” are voters who did not select a party preference. “Other” are voters who selected a political party that has not qualified in California.